Mali

If I keep coming back to this, it's because the path seems so clear: the Crisis looks very much like it could be The Last Crusade. When cheese-eating surrender monkeys are actively taking on Islamists, the question of who will be Us and who Them begs to answer itself. Other paths still beckon, of course, and this might be a detour. An attempt at total war by bankrupt countries could as easily cause battles for massive internal reform, instead - as with Russia and WWI. I suppose asking whether it would be structural or economic reform is unnecessary, as both would be remade in changes a Crisis might engender.