Russia

The Los Angeles Times has an article about the relationship between the Russian Orthodox Church and the secular rules of the country. The title -- "Russian Orthodox Church is in spiritual crisis, critics say" -- evokes the possibility of an Awakening beginning there, which might help solve the question some have about Russia's Saeculum: was the period from 1912 to 1945 one unusually long Crisis, or was it experiencing a different set of Turnings?

Besides that title, the indications of Russia's current turning include:

"Twenty years of democratic Russia" drawing the period since the fall of the USSR into a single box

Corruption - a strong sign of a First Turning - being openly discussed and opposed, specifically in terms of an expensive watch worn by the patriarch in an official photo - and then inexpertly erased. (An echo of Stalin there that suggests a unity between that 80-year-ago time and now.)

Indications of popular protest against the existing regimes, both secular and religious, with a group of young women "dancing" against the status quo.

Together, they suggest the imminent transition from a High to an Awakening. An obvious problem then is, when was their Crisis? It would have to have been from about 1970 to 1992. The peak would have started in the late 1980s, possibly as soon as Chernobyl. Which works, in its way, even if it's not the sort of Crisis we've seen in the United States. And it would indicate a previous Crisis around the time of the October Revolution. Further, this suggests that Stalin's regime was during the corresponding High. The Purges further support this view, as the search for enemies is a common post-Crisis occurrence, leading to witch hunts both literal (Salem, 1692) and metaphorical (McCarthy, 1950).