Sunday, January 19, 2014

Considerations

It can be difficult trying to expand on The Crisis every day. Even if there is something happening that’s relevant, it can get repetitive. There aren’t that many attributes that describe the Crisis:
  • Specific generational constellation (Young Civics, Midlife Reactives, Elder Prophets)
  • Dissatisfaction with the unfocused societal attitudes that started in the Awakening and became worse during the Unraveling
  • Institutions become more powerful, generally at the expense of individual freedom
  • Generally, a large-scale and disruptive war (generally at the peak, so not always helpful)

And if I try to describe a different one each day, I’ll still be doing a similar post several times a month. Other times, something that can be seen as an indication of the Crisis may be a weak sort of prediction that may be as relevant to the Awakening (when social structures are changing) or the Unraveling (when they are not what they were) as well. Which undercuts the very idea of saying "We're in a Crisis, and here's how we know."

Still, this has me thinking that I should go through my own concepts of what constitutes the Crisis, compare with those actually in Generations/The Fourth Turning, and really use them as the starting point for my observations. Then I might still end up repeating myself, but I’ll at least know that I am and where and why.


And may help me come up with a reason that the NSA situation is going to turn more on the Dissatisfaction trend (in which case we have some hope) and less on Strengthening Institutions (in which case ... not so much). 

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