The reason for last weeks posts on identifying Turnings was to come back to Russia and the U.S. and their respective places. Which aren't quite where I thought they were.
To start, while Russia is out of its Fourth, it's not definitely up to the Second. Pussy Riot's cathedral exhibition certainly hits Youth and Religion and protest indicators. My previous post, though, was noting that the Corruption indicated First, and said that the Second was imminent, not in progress. Which is much more in line with the last time around, when Stalin was in charge.
Either way, Crimea agreeing to be annexed by Russia isn’t looking like a match in a tinderbox. The U.S. is still acting cautiously, leaning on sanctions. Ukraine may not be happy, but fighting back doesn’t seem like an option with any appealing outcomes. And Russia is still being painted as a big loser - not by everyone, but often - despite these victories.
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